Projections of the economic burden of care for individuals with dementia in mainland China from 2010 to 2050
Abstract
Background China has stepped into an era of aging society, where the impending considerable economic burden attributed to high prevalence of dementia in the elderly appears to be one of the most important health and social issues to deal with for the country. However, populationbased quantification and projections for the economic burden of dementia in China are lacking for further health action and policy making. Objective To estimate and predict the costs of managing dementia in the elderly population aged 60 and above from 2010 to 2050 in China. Methods Data were collected from a six-province study (n = 7072) and other multiple sources for calculation of the economic burden of dementia. With the convincing data from published studies, we quantified and projected the costs attributed to dementia in China from 2010 to 2050. Results The national cost of dementia in 2010 was estimated to be US$22.8 billion by the opportunity cost method and US$26.4 billion by the proxy method. In 2050, the costs would increase to US$372.3 billion by the opportunity cost method and US$430.6 billion by the proxy method, consuming 0.53% and 0.61% of China's total GDP, respectively. A series of sensitivity analyses showed that the changes in the proportions of informal caregiving led to the most robust changes in the total burden of care for dementia in China. Conclusion Dementia represents an enormous burden on China's population health and economy. Due to the changes in policies and population structure, policymakers should give priority to dementia care.Citation
Huang, Y., Li, X., Liu, Z., Huo, J., Guo, J., Chen Y., Chen, Y., Chen, R. (2022) Projections of the economic burden of care for individuals with dementia in mainland China from 2010 to 2050. PLoS ONE 17(2): e0263077. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0263077Publisher
Public Library of ScienceJournal
PLoS ONEPubMed ID
35113895 (pubmed)Type
Journal articleLanguage
enDescription
© 2022 The Authors. Published by PLOS. This is an open access article available under a Creative Commons licence. The published version can be accessed at the following link on the publisher’s website: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0263077ISSN
1932-6203EISSN
1932-6203Sponsors
This work was supported by the National Social Science Fund of China (grant no. 18BGL218),and Research and Demonstration of Integrated Medical Care Model for Dementia and Hypertension Treatment and Rehabilitation Based on Artificial Intelligence (grant no. 202002020047). The five-province cohort studies of dementia in China were funded by the BUPA Foundation (Grants Nos. 45NOV06, and TBF-M09-05) and Alzheimer’s Research UK (Grant No. ART/PPG2007B/2).ae974a485f413a2113503eed53cd6c53
10.1371/journal.pone.0263077
Scopus Count
Collections
Except where otherwise noted, this item's license is described as Licence for published version: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International
Related articles
- Projections of the economic burden of care for individuals with dementia in mainland China from 2010 to 2050.
- Authors: Huang Y, Li X, Liu Z, Huo J, Guo J, Chen Y, Chen Y, Chen R
- Issue date: 2022
- The economic burden of dementia in China, 1990-2030: implications for health policy.
- Authors: Xu J, Wang J, Wimo A, Fratiglioni L, Qiu C
- Issue date: 2017 Jan 1
- Projections of Socioeconomic Costs for Individuals with Dementia in China 2020-2050: Modeling Study.
- Authors: Wu Y, Liu Y, Liu Y, Chen Y, Lobanov-Rostovsky S, Zhang Y, Liu Y, Brunner EJ, French E, Liao J
- Issue date: 2024
- Economic impact of delirium in Australia: a cost of illness study.
- Authors: Pezzullo L, Streatfeild J, Hickson J, Teodorczuk A, Agar MR, Caplan GA
- Issue date: 2019 Sep 17